number one, had they gone in and spent $7 million a week for four weeks in pennsylvania, if romney and ryan had come in a lot in pennsylvania, this could have been very competitive. you may remember when i was on your show in september and the polls showing 11, 12% for obama i said we're going to win by three or four points. today as i sit here we're going to win by three or four points. >> call the casey win. >> casey will win by five seni x points. >> we'll talk to you next week or see you in new york. >> the real answer is we don't know for sure. >> i agree with that. >> including any commentator. if anybody wants to tell you they know how this is turning out. >> they're lying. >> thank you so much. ed rendell who never lies, vin weber -- >> we make a good impression of it. >> and up next, new hope for new yorkers still left in the dark and those needing help in the storm aftermath. the fema hot line is 1-800-621-fee ha. y -- fema. go to nbc news.com and click on how you can help. this is "andrea mitchell reports" only on msnbc. ♪ [ male announcer ] from our nation's networks... ♪ ..